Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Grêmio vs
Fluminense
Full timePitchOdds called 2 of 4
Grêmio 1–1 Fluminense
✗Match result: we called Grêmio win (39%)result: Draw · we gave it 29%
✓Over/Under 2.5: we called Under (60%)result: 2 goals
✗Both teams to score: we called No (54%)result: both scored · we gave it 46%
✓Top scoreline: we called 1–1 (13%)result: 1–1
Pre-match numbers, judged against the final score — misses included. Every scored call joins the public record.
39%Home win
29%Draw
33%Away win
Grêmio are narrow favourites (39%, under half) — draw 29%, Fluminense 33%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Grêmio 1.2 · Fluminense 1.1
Over / Under 2.5
Over 40%Under 60%
Both teams to score
Yes 46%No 54%
Model vs Market — see where our probabilities differ from the de-vigged market read. Go Pro →
Fluminense 2–1 GrêmioJan 2026
Grêmio 1–2 FluminenseDec 2025
Fluminense 1–0 GrêmioAug 2025
Fluminense 2–2 GrêmioNov 2024
Grêmio 1–0 FluminenseJun 2024