Campeonato Brasileiro Série A

Coritiba vs
Cruzeiro

Full timePitchOdds called 2 of 4

Coritiba 0–1 Cruzeiro

✗Match result: we called Coritiba win (41%)result: Cruzeiro win · we gave it 31%

✓Over/Under 2.5: we called Under (57%)result: 1 goal

✓Both teams to score: we called No (51%)result: they did not

✗Top scoreline: we called 1–1 (13%)result: 0–1

Pre-match numbers, judged against the final score — misses included. Every scored call joins the public record.

41%Home win

28%Draw

31%Away win

Coritiba are narrow favourites (41%, under half) — draw 28%, Cruzeiro 31%.

Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Coritiba 1.3 · Cruzeiro 1.1

Over / Under 2.5

Over 43%Under 57%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%No 51%

Model vs Market — see where our probabilities differ from the de-vigged market read. Go Pro →

Cruzeiro 1–2 CoritibaFeb 2026