Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Full timePitchOdds called 2 of 4
✗Match result: we called Fluminense win (50%)result: Draw · we gave it 26%
✓Over/Under 2.5: we called Under (56%)result: 0 goals
✓Both teams to score: we called No (53%)result: they did not
✗Top scoreline: we called 1–0 (13%)result: 0–0
Pre-match numbers, judged against the final score — misses included. Every scored call joins the public record.
We lean Fluminense (50%) — draw 26%, Bahia 23%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Fluminense 1.5 · Bahia 0.9
Over / Under 2.5
Over 44%Under 56%
Both teams to score
Yes 47%No 53%
Model vs Market — see where our probabilities differ from the de-vigged market read. Go Pro →
Bahia 1–1 FluminenseFeb 2026
Fluminense 2–0 BahiaDec 2025
Bahia 3–3 FluminenseAug 2025
Fluminense 1–0 BahiaAug 2024
Bahia 2–1 FluminenseApr 2024