Campeonato Brasileiro Série A

Vitória vs
Palmeiras

Full timePitchOdds called 2 of 4

Vitória 0–4 Palmeiras

✓Match result: we called Palmeiras win (51%)result: Palmeiras win

✗Over/Under 2.5: we called Under (60%)result: 4 goals · we gave it 40%

✓Both teams to score: we called No (56%)result: they did not

✗Top scoreline: we called 0–1 (15%)result: 0–4

Pre-match numbers, judged against the final score — misses included. Every scored call joins the public record.

22%Home win

27%Draw

51%Away win

We lean Palmeiras (51%) — Vitória 22%, draw 27%.

Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Vitória 0.8 · Palmeiras 1.4

Over / Under 2.5

Over 40%Under 60%

Both teams to score

Yes 44%No 56%

Model vs Market — see where our probabilities differ from the de-vigged market read. Go Pro →

Palmeiras 5–1 VitóriaFeb 2026

Palmeiras 0–0 VitóriaNov 2025

Vitória 2–2 PalmeirasAug 2025

Palmeiras 0–2 VitóriaJul 2024

Vitória 0–1 PalmeirasApr 2024