Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Full timePitchOdds called 0 of 4
✗Match result: we called Bahia win (58%)result: Draw · we gave it 23%
✗Over/Under 2.5: we called Over (57%)result: 0 goals · we gave it 43%
✗Both teams to score: we called Yes (55%)result: they did not · we gave it 45%
✗Top scoreline: we called 1–1 (11%)result: 0–0
Pre-match numbers, judged against the final score — misses included. Every scored call joins the public record.
We lean Bahia (58%) — draw 23%, Vasco da Gama 20%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Bahia 1.9 · Vasco da Gama 1.0
Over / Under 2.5
Over 57%Under 43%
Both teams to score
Yes 55%No 45%
Model vs Market — see where our probabilities differ from the de-vigged market read. Go Pro →
Vasco da Gama 0–1 BahiaFeb 2026
Bahia 1–0 Vasco da GamaNov 2025
Vasco da Gama 3–1 BahiaSep 2025
Vasco da Gama 3–2 BahiaOct 2024
Bahia 2–1 Vasco da GamaJun 2024