Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Full timePitchOdds called 1 of 4
✗Match result: we called Botafogo win (51%)result: Draw · we gave it 26%
✓Over/Under 2.5: we called Under (54%)result: 2 goals
✗Both teams to score: we called No (51%)result: both scored · we gave it 49%
✗Top scoreline: we called 1–0 (12%)result: 1–1
Pre-match numbers, judged against the final score — misses included. Every scored call joins the public record.
We lean Botafogo (51%) — draw 26%, Fluminense 23%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Botafogo 1.6 · Fluminense 0.9
Over / Under 2.5
Over 46%Under 54%
Both teams to score
Yes 49%No 51%
Model vs Market — see where our probabilities differ from the de-vigged market read. Go Pro →
Fluminense 1–0 BotafogoFeb 2026
Fluminense 2–0 BotafogoSep 2025
Botafogo 2–0 FluminenseApr 2025
Fluminense 0–1 BotafogoSep 2024
Botafogo 1–0 FluminenseJun 2024