Campeonato Brasileiro Série A

Coritiba vs
Chapecoense

Full timePitchOdds called 2 of 4

Coritiba 2–1 Chapecoense

✓Match result: we called Coritiba win (69%)result: Coritiba win

✓Over/Under 2.5: we called Over (58%)result: 3 goals

✗Both teams to score: we called No (51%)result: both scored · we gave it 49%

✗Top scoreline: we called 2–0 (12%)result: 2–1

Pre-match numbers, judged against the final score — misses included. Every scored call joins the public record.

69%Home win

19%Draw

12%Away win

We lean Coritiba (69%) — draw 19%, Chapecoense 12%.

Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Coritiba 2.2 · Chapecoense 0.8

Over / Under 2.5

Over 58%Under 42%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%No 51%

Model vs Market — see where our probabilities differ from the de-vigged market read. Go Pro →

Chapecoense 3–3 CoritibaFeb 2026