Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Fluminense vs
Palmeiras
Full timePitchOdds called 0 of 4
Fluminense 3–2 Palmeiras
✗Match result: we called Palmeiras win (39%)result: Fluminense win · we gave it 30%
✗Over/Under 2.5: we called Under (64%)result: 5 goals · we gave it 36%
✗Both teams to score: we called No (57%)result: both scored · we gave it 43%
✗Top scoreline: we called 1–1 (14%)result: 3–2
Pre-match numbers, judged against the final score — misses included. Every scored call joins the public record.
30%Home win
31%Draw
39%Away win
Palmeiras are narrow favourites (39%, under half) — Fluminense 30%, draw 31%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Fluminense 1.0 · Palmeiras 1.2
Over / Under 2.5
Over 36%Under 64%
Both teams to score
Yes 43%No 57%
Model vs Market — see where our probabilities differ from the de-vigged market read. Go Pro →
Palmeiras 2–1 FluminenseFeb 2026
Palmeiras 0–0 FluminenseNov 2025
Fluminense 1–2 PalmeirasJul 2025
Palmeiras 0–1 FluminenseDec 2024
Fluminense 1–0 PalmeirasJul 2024