Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Palmeiras vs
Vasco da Gama
Full timePitchOdds called 2 of 4
Palmeiras 4–1 Vasco da Gama
✓Match result: we called Palmeiras win (75%)result: Palmeiras win
✓Over/Under 2.5: we called Over (61%)result: 5 goals
✗Both teams to score: we called No (53%)result: both scored · we gave it 47%
✗Top scoreline: we called 2–0 (13%)result: 4–1
Pre-match numbers, judged against the final score — misses included. Every scored call joins the public record.
75%Home win
16%Draw
8%Away win
We lean Palmeiras (75%) — draw 16%, Vasco da Gama 8%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Palmeiras 2.4 · Vasco da Gama 0.7
Over / Under 2.5
Over 61%Under 39%
Both teams to score
Yes 47%No 53%
Model vs Market — see where our probabilities differ from the de-vigged market read. Go Pro →
Vasco da Gama 2–1 PalmeirasMar 2026
Palmeiras 3–0 Vasco da GamaOct 2025
Vasco da Gama 0–1 PalmeirasMay 2025
Vasco da Gama 0–1 PalmeirasSep 2024
Palmeiras 2–0 Vasco da GamaJun 2024