Campeonato Brasileiro Série A

Grêmio vs
Chapecoense

Full timePitchOdds called 3 of 4

Grêmio 3–1 Chapecoense

✓Match result: we called Grêmio win (63%)result: Grêmio win

✓Over/Under 2.5: we called Over (58%)result: 4 goals

✓Both teams to score: we called Yes (53%)result: both scored

✗Top scoreline: we called 2–0 (11%)result: 3–1

Pre-match numbers, judged against the final score — misses included. Every scored call joins the public record.

63%Home win

21%Draw

16%Away win

We lean Grêmio (63%) — draw 21%, Chapecoense 16%.

Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Grêmio 2.1 · Chapecoense 0.9

Over / Under 2.5

Over 58%Under 42%

Both teams to score

Yes 53%No 47%

Model vs Market — see where our probabilities differ from the de-vigged market read. Go Pro →

Chapecoense 1–1 GrêmioMar 2026