Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Vitória vs
Grêmio
Full timePitchOdds called 3 of 4
Vitória 1–0 Grêmio
✓Match result: we called Vitória win (39%)result: Vitória win
✓Over/Under 2.5: we called Under (61%)result: 1 goal
✓Both teams to score: we called No (54%)result: they did not
✗Top scoreline: we called 1–1 (14%)result: 1–0
Pre-match numbers, judged against the final score — misses included. Every scored call joins the public record.
39%Home win
30%Draw
31%Away win
Vitória are narrow favourites (39%, under half) — draw 30%, Grêmio 31%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Vitória 1.2 · Grêmio 1.1
Over / Under 2.5
Over 39%Under 61%
Both teams to score
Yes 46%No 54%
Model vs Market — see where our probabilities differ from the de-vigged market read. Go Pro →
Grêmio 2–0 VitóriaMar 2026
Grêmio 3–1 VitóriaSep 2025
Vitória 1–1 GrêmioApr 2025
Vitória 1–1 GrêmioDec 2024
Grêmio 2–0 VitóriaJul 2024