Coritiba vs
Paranaense

Coritiba are narrow favourites (40%, under half) — draw 28%, Paranaense 33%.

Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Coritiba 1.3 · Paranaense 1.2

Reading these together: each call is the more likely side of its ownmarket — they aren't one combined prediction. A winner, both teams scoring andunder 2.5 can't all land at once (the smallest winning both-score line is 2–1 — three goals). For the single most likely outcomes, see the scorelines tab.

Model vs Market — see where our probabilities differ from the de-vigged market read. Go Pro →