Eredivisie
Den Haag vs
Groningen
Full timePitchOdds called 2 of 4
Den Haag 1–4 Groningen
✓Match result: we called Groningen win (42%)result: Groningen win
✗Over/Under 2.5: we called Under (51%)result: 5 goals · we gave it 49%
✓Both teams to score: we called Yes (54%)result: both scored
✗Top scoreline: we called 1–1 (14%)result: 1–4
Pre-match numbers, judged against the final score — misses included. Every scored call joins the public record.
29%Home win
28%Draw
42%Away win
Groningen are narrow favourites (42%, under half) — Den Haag 29%, draw 28%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Den Haag 1.2 · Groningen 1.4
Over / Under 2.5
Over 49%Under 51%
Both teams to score
Yes 54%No 46%
Reading these together: each call is the more likely side of its ownmarket — they aren't one combined prediction. A winner, both teams scoring andunder 2.5 can't all land at once (the smallest winning both-score line is 2–1 — three goals). For the single most likely outcomes, see the scorelines tab.
Early season.Only a round or two of results exist — last season's form carries the numbers while transfers, promotions and tactical resets aren't fully priced yet. This is the model's widest-miss window; calibration tightens as new results feed the daily refit. As ever: statistics, not betting advice.
Model vs Market — see where our probabilities differ from the de-vigged market read. Go Pro →
No previous meetings on record in the data we hold.