Eredivisie
Go Ahead vs
Den Haag
Full timePitchOdds called 3 of 4
Go Ahead 3–1 Den Haag
✓Match result: we called Go Ahead win (79%)result: Go Ahead win
✓Over/Under 2.5: we called Over (76%)result: 4 goals
✓Both teams to score: we called Yes (58%)result: both scored
✗Top scoreline: we called 3–0 (9%)result: 3–1
Pre-match numbers, judged against the final score — misses included. Every scored call joins the public record.
79%Home win
13%Draw
8%Away win
We lean Go Ahead (79%) — draw 13%, Den Haag 8%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Go Ahead 3.1 · Den Haag 0.9
Over / Under 2.5
Over 76%Under 24%
Both teams to score
Yes 58%No 42%
Early season.Only a round or two of results exist — last season's form carries the numbers while transfers, promotions and tactical resets aren't fully priced yet. This is the model's widest-miss window; calibration tightens as new results feed the daily refit. As ever: statistics, not betting advice.
Model vs Market — see where our probabilities differ from the de-vigged market read. Go Pro →
No previous meetings on record in the data we hold.