We lean Cagliari (50%) — Monza 25%, draw 25%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Monza 1.0 · Cagliari 1.6
Reading these together: each call is the more likely side of its ownmarket — they aren't one combined prediction. A winner, both teams scoring andunder 2.5 can't all land at once (the smallest winning both-score line is 2–1 — three goals). For the single most likely outcomes, see the scorelines tab.