Serie A
Cagliari vs
Inter
Full timePitchOdds called 1 of 4
Cagliari 0–1 Inter
✓Match result: we called Inter win (68%)result: Inter win
✗Over/Under 2.5: we called Over (63%)result: 1 goal · we gave it 37%
✗Both teams to score: we called Yes (55%)result: they did not · we gave it 45%
✗Top scoreline: we called 0–2 (10%)result: 0–1
Pre-match numbers, judged against the final score — misses included. Every scored call joins the public record.
14%Home win
18%Draw
68%Away win
We lean Inter (68%) — Cagliari 14%, draw 18%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Cagliari 0.9 · Inter 2.3
Over / Under 2.5
Over 63%Under 37%
Both teams to score
Yes 55%No 45%
Early season.Only a round or two of results exist — last season's form carries the numbers while transfers, promotions and tactical resets aren't fully priced yet. This is the model's widest-miss window; calibration tightens as new results feed the daily refit. As ever: statistics, not betting advice.
Model vs Market — see where our probabilities differ from the de-vigged market read. Go Pro →
Inter 3–0 CagliariApr 2026
Cagliari 0–2 InterSep 2025
Inter 3–1 CagliariApr 2025
Cagliari 0–3 InterDec 2024