Eredivisie
NEC are narrow favourites (42%, under half) — draw 24%, AZ 34%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — NEC 1.8 · AZ 1.6
Over / Under 2.5
Over 67%Under 33%
Both teams to score
Yes 68%No 32%
AZ 1–3 NECJan 2026
NEC 2–1 AZSep 2025
NEC 3–3 AZMar 2025
AZ 1–0 NECAug 2024