Eredivisie

Excelsior vs
Ajax

27%Home win

27%Draw

46%Away win

Ajax are narrow favourites (46%, under half) — Excelsior 27%, draw 27%.

Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Excelsior 1.1 · Ajax 1.6

Over / Under 2.5

Over 51%Under 49%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%No 45%

Excelsior 2–2 AjaxFeb 2026

Ajax 1–2 ExcelsiorNov 2025