Eredivisie

Excelsior vs
AZ

32%Home win

27%Draw

41%Away win

AZ are narrow favourites (41%, under half) — Excelsior 32%, draw 27%.

Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Excelsior 1.3 · AZ 1.5

Over / Under 2.5

Over 55%Under 45%

Both teams to score

Yes 59%No 41%

Excelsior 1–2 AZFeb 2026

AZ 1–1 ExcelsiorJan 2026