Eredivisie
AZ are narrow favourites (43%, under half) — Sparta 28%, draw 29%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Sparta 1.2 · AZ 1.5
Over / Under 2.5
Over 49%Under 51%
Both teams to score
Yes 55%No 45%
AZ 3–1 SpartaFeb 2026
Sparta 0–1 AZNov 2025
AZ 1–2 SpartaJan 2025
Sparta 1–2 AZNov 2024