Eredivisie
We lean Ajax (54%) — Sparta 20%, draw 26%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Sparta 1.0 · Ajax 1.7
Over / Under 2.5
Over 51%Under 49%
Both teams to score
Yes 52%No 48%
Ajax 4–0 SpartaMar 2026
Sparta 3–3 AjaxOct 2025
Ajax 1–1 SpartaApr 2025
Sparta 0–2 AjaxDec 2024