Eredivisie

Ajax vs
Excelsior

59%Home win

24%Draw

17%Away win

We lean Ajax (59%) — draw 24%, Excelsior 17%.

Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Ajax 1.9 · Excelsior 0.9

Over / Under 2.5

Over 54%Under 46%

Both teams to score

Yes 53%No 47%

Excelsior 2–2 AjaxFeb 2026

Ajax 1–2 ExcelsiorNov 2025