Eredivisie
AZ vs
Willem II
78%Home win
15%Draw
7%Away win
We lean AZ (78%) — draw 15%, Willem II 7%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — AZ 2.6 · Willem II 0.7
Over / Under 2.5
Over 65%Under 35%
Both teams to score
Yes 49%No 51%
Model vs Market — see where our probabilities differ from the de-vigged market read. Go Pro →
Willem II 0–2 AZFeb 2025
AZ 1–2 Willem IINov 2024