Ligue 1

Toulouse vs
Paris FC

44%Home win

26%Draw

31%Away win

Toulouse are narrow favourites (44%, under half) — draw 26%, Paris FC 31%.

Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Toulouse 1.6 · Paris FC 1.3

Over / Under 2.5

Over 55%Under 45%

Both teams to score

Yes 58%No 42%

Toulouse 1–1 Paris FCFeb 2026

Paris FC 0–3 ToulouseDec 2025