Pre-match numbers, judged against the final score — misses included. Every scored call joins the public record.
We lean Nice (52%) — draw 21%, Le Mans 27%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Nice 2.3 · Le Mans 1.7
Early season.Only a round or two of results exist — last season's form carries the numbers while transfers, promotions and tactical resets aren't fully priced yet. This is the model's widest-miss window; calibration tightens as new results feed the daily refit. As ever: statistics, not betting advice.
Model vs Market — see where our probabilities differ from the de-vigged market read. Go Pro →
No previous meetings on record in the data we hold.