Ligue 1
Stade Rennais vs
Le Mans
Full timePitchOdds called 3 of 4
Stade Rennais 3–2 Le Mans
✓Match result: we called Stade Rennais win (57%)result: Stade Rennais win
✓Over/Under 2.5: we called Over (72%)result: 5 goals
✓Both teams to score: we called Yes (68%)result: both scored
✗Top scoreline: we called 2–1 (9%)result: 3–2
Pre-match numbers, judged against the final score — misses included. Every scored call joins the public record.
57%Home win
21%Draw
22%Away win
We lean Stade Rennais (57%) — draw 21%, Le Mans 22%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Stade Rennais 2.3 · Le Mans 1.4
Over / Under 2.5
Over 72%Under 28%
Both teams to score
Yes 68%No 32%
Early season.Only a round or two of results exist — last season's form carries the numbers while transfers, promotions and tactical resets aren't fully priced yet. This is the model's widest-miss window; calibration tightens as new results feed the daily refit. As ever: statistics, not betting advice.
Model vs Market — see where our probabilities differ from the de-vigged market read. Go Pro →
No previous meetings on record in the data we hold.