Premier League
Man City vs
Coventry City
Full timePitchOdds called 2 of 4
Man City 1–0 Coventry City
✓Match result: we called Man City win (78%)result: Man City win
✗Over/Under 2.5: we called Over (65%)result: 1 goal · we gave it 35%
✓Both teams to score: we called No (53%)result: they did not
✗Top scoreline: we called 2–0 (12%)result: 1–0
Pre-match numbers, judged against the final score — misses included. Every scored call joins the public record.
78%Home win
15%Draw
7%Away win
We lean Man City (78%) — draw 15%, Coventry City 7%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Man City 2.6 · Coventry City 0.7
Over / Under 2.5
Over 65%Under 35%
Both teams to score
Yes 47%No 53%
Early season.Only a round or two of results exist — last season's form carries the numbers while transfers, promotions and tactical resets aren't fully priced yet. This is the model's widest-miss window; calibration tightens as new results feed the daily refit. As ever: statistics, not betting advice.
Model vs Market — see where our probabilities differ from the de-vigged market read. Go Pro →
No previous meetings on record in the data we hold.