Premier League
Ipswich Town vs
Liverpool
Full timePitchOdds called 1 of 4
Ipswich Town 0–2 Liverpool
✓Match result: we called Liverpool win (71%)result: Liverpool win
✗Over/Under 2.5: we called Over (73%)result: 2 goals · we gave it 27%
✗Both teams to score: we called Yes (63%)result: they did not · we gave it 37%
✗Top scoreline: we called 1–2 (9%)result: 0–2
Pre-match numbers, judged against the final score — misses included. Every scored call joins the public record.
12%Home win
17%Draw
71%Away win
We lean Liverpool (71%) — Ipswich Town 12%, draw 17%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Ipswich Town 1.1 · Liverpool 2.7
Over / Under 2.5
Over 73%Under 27%
Both teams to score
Yes 63%No 37%
Early season.Only a round or two of results exist — last season's form carries the numbers while transfers, promotions and tactical resets aren't fully priced yet. This is the model's widest-miss window; calibration tightens as new results feed the daily refit. As ever: statistics, not betting advice.
Model vs Market — see where our probabilities differ from the de-vigged market read. Go Pro →
Liverpool 4–1 Ipswich TownJan 2025
Ipswich Town 0–2 LiverpoolAug 2024