Premier League
Aston Villa vs
Nottingham
46%Home win
27%Draw
27%Away win
Aston Villa are narrow favourites (46%, under half) — draw 27%, Nottingham 27%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Aston Villa 1.6 · Nottingham 1.2
Over / Under 2.5
Over 53%Under 47%
Both teams to score
Yes 57%No 43%
Nottingham 1–1 Aston VillaApr 2026
Aston Villa 3–1 NottinghamJan 2026
Aston Villa 2–1 NottinghamApr 2025
Nottingham 2–1 Aston VillaDec 2024