Premier League

Leeds United vs
Newcastle

41%Home win

26%Draw

33%Away win

Leeds United are narrow favourites (41%, under half) — draw 26%, Newcastle 33%.

Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Leeds United 1.6 · Newcastle 1.4

Over / Under 2.5

Over 58%Under 42%

Both teams to score

Yes 62%No 38%

Newcastle 4–3 Leeds UnitedJan 2026

Leeds United 0–0 NewcastleAug 2025