Premier League
Man United vs
Man City
32%Home win
25%Draw
42%Away win
Man City are narrow favourites (42%, under half) — Man United 32%, draw 25%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Man United 1.5 · Man City 1.7
Over / Under 2.5
Over 62%Under 38%
Both teams to score
Yes 65%No 35%
Man United 2–0 Man CityJan 2026
Man City 3–0 Man UnitedSep 2025
Man United 0–0 Man CityApr 2025
Man City 1–2 Man UnitedDec 2024