Premier League
Newcastle vs
Aston Villa
45%Home win
26%Draw
29%Away win
Newcastle are narrow favourites (45%, under half) — draw 26%, Aston Villa 29%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Newcastle 1.7 · Aston Villa 1.3
Over / Under 2.5
Over 58%Under 42%
Both teams to score
Yes 61%No 39%
Newcastle 0–2 Aston VillaJan 2026
Aston Villa 0–0 NewcastleAug 2025
Aston Villa 4–1 NewcastleApr 2025
Newcastle 3–0 Aston VillaDec 2024