Premier League
Aston Villa vs
Man City
26%Home win
26%Draw
48%Away win
Man City are narrow favourites (48%, under half) — Aston Villa 26%, draw 26%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Aston Villa 1.2 · Man City 1.8
Over / Under 2.5
Over 58%Under 42%
Both teams to score
Yes 60%No 40%
Man City 1–2 Aston VillaMay 2026
Aston Villa 1–0 Man CityOct 2025
Man City 2–1 Aston VillaApr 2025
Aston Villa 2–1 Man CityDec 2024