Premier League
Sunderland vs
Leeds United
32%Home win
29%Draw
39%Away win
Leeds United are narrow favourites (39%, under half) — Sunderland 32%, draw 29%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Sunderland 1.2 · Leeds United 1.4
Over / Under 2.5
Over 48%Under 52%
Both teams to score
Yes 54%No 46%
Reading these together: each call is the more likely side of its ownmarket — they aren't one combined prediction. A winner, both teams scoring andunder 2.5 can't all land at once (the smallest winning both-score line is 2–1 — three goals). For the single most likely outcomes, see the scorelines tab.
Leeds United 0–1 SunderlandMar 2026
Sunderland 1–1 Leeds UnitedDec 2025
Leeds United 2–1 SunderlandFeb 2025
Sunderland 2–2 Leeds UnitedOct 2024
Leeds United 0–0 SunderlandApr 2024
Sunderland 1–0 Leeds UnitedDec 2023