Premier League
Arsenal vs
Man City
49%Home win
27%Draw
24%Away win
Arsenal are narrow favourites (49%, under half) — draw 27%, Man City 24%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Arsenal 1.6 · Man City 1.1
Over / Under 2.5
Over 51%Under 49%
Both teams to score
Yes 54%No 46%
Man City 2–1 ArsenalApr 2026
Arsenal 1–1 Man CitySep 2025
Arsenal 5–1 Man CityFeb 2025
Man City 2–2 ArsenalSep 2024