Premier League
Brighton Hove vs
Newcastle
43%Home win
26%Draw
32%Away win
Brighton Hove are narrow favourites (43%, under half) — draw 26%, Newcastle 32%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Brighton Hove 1.7 · Newcastle 1.5
Over / Under 2.5
Over 62%Under 38%
Both teams to score
Yes 64%No 36%
Newcastle 3–1 Brighton HoveMay 2026
Brighton Hove 2–1 NewcastleOct 2025
Brighton Hove 1–1 NewcastleMay 2025
Newcastle 0–1 Brighton HoveOct 2024