Championship
Wolverhampton vs
Stoke
Full timePitchOdds called 3 of 4
Wolverhampton 4–1 Stoke
✓Match result: we called Wolverhampton win (59%)result: Wolverhampton win
✓Over/Under 2.5: we called Over (64%)result: 5 goals
✓Both teams to score: we called Yes (61%)result: both scored
✗Top scoreline: we called 1–1 (10%)result: 4–1
Pre-match numbers, judged against the final score — misses included. Every scored call joins the public record.
59%Home win
22%Draw
20%Away win
We lean Wolverhampton (59%) — draw 22%, Stoke 20%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Wolverhampton 2.1 · Stoke 1.2
Over / Under 2.5
Over 64%Under 36%
Both teams to score
Yes 61%No 39%
Early season.Only a round or two of results exist — last season's form carries the numbers while transfers, promotions and tactical resets aren't fully priced yet. This is the model's widest-miss window; calibration tightens as new results feed the daily refit. As ever: statistics, not betting advice.
Model vs Market — see where our probabilities differ from the de-vigged market read. Go Pro →
No previous meetings on record in the data we hold.