Championship
Birmingham vs
Southampton
Full timePitchOdds called 2 of 4
Birmingham 1–1 Southampton
✗Match result: we called Southampton win (45%)result: Draw · we gave it 26%
✗Over/Under 2.5: we called Over (54%)result: 2 goals · we gave it 46%
✓Both teams to score: we called Yes (58%)result: both scored
✓Top scoreline: we called 1–1 (12%)result: 1–1
Pre-match numbers, judged against the final score — misses included. Every scored call joins the public record.
29%Home win
26%Draw
45%Away win
Southampton are narrow favourites (45%, under half) — Birmingham 29%, draw 26%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Birmingham 1.2 · Southampton 1.6
Over / Under 2.5
Over 54%Under 46%
Both teams to score
Yes 58%No 42%
Model vs Market — see where our probabilities differ from the de-vigged market read. Go Pro →
Birmingham 1–1 SouthamptonDec 2025
Southampton 3–1 BirminghamDec 2025
Birmingham 3–4 SouthamptonMar 2024
Southampton 3–1 BirminghamOct 2023