Championship
Swansea vs
Watford
Full timePitchOdds called 3 of 4
Swansea 2–0 Watford
✓Match result: we called Swansea win (47%)result: Swansea win
✓Over/Under 2.5: we called Under (56%)result: 2 goals
✓Both teams to score: we called No (51%)result: they did not
✗Top scoreline: we called 1–1 (13%)result: 2–0
Pre-match numbers, judged against the final score — misses included. Every scored call joins the public record.
47%Home win
28%Draw
25%Away win
Swansea are narrow favourites (47%, under half) — draw 28%, Watford 25%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Swansea 1.5 · Watford 1.0
Over / Under 2.5
Over 44%Under 56%
Both teams to score
Yes 49%No 51%
Model vs Market — see where our probabilities differ from the de-vigged market read. Go Pro →
Watford 0–2 SwanseaJan 2026
Swansea 1–1 WatfordAug 2025
Watford 1–0 SwanseaMar 2025
Swansea 1–0 WatfordNov 2024
Watford 1–1 SwanseaMar 2024
Swansea 0–1 WatfordOct 2023