Championship

Burnley vs
Middlesbrough

Full timePitchOdds called 1 of 4

Burnley 1–1 Middlesbrough

✗Match result: we called Burnley win (52%)result: Draw · we gave it 28%

✓Over/Under 2.5: we called Under (60%)result: 2 goals

✗Both teams to score: we called No (56%)result: both scored · we gave it 44%

✗Top scoreline: we called 1–0 (14%)result: 1–1

Pre-match numbers, judged against the final score — misses included. Every scored call joins the public record.

52%Home win

28%Draw

20%Away win

We lean Burnley (52%) — draw 28%, Middlesbrough 20%.

Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Burnley 1.5 · Middlesbrough 0.8

Over / Under 2.5

Over 40%Under 60%

Both teams to score

Yes 44%No 56%

Model vs Market — see where our probabilities differ from the de-vigged market read. Go Pro →

Middlesbrough 0–0 BurnleyDec 2024

Burnley 1–1 MiddlesbroughDec 2024