Championship

Stoke vs
Charlton

Full timePitchOdds called 2 of 4

Stoke 4–0 Charlton

✓Match result: we called Stoke win (37%)result: Stoke win

✗Over/Under 2.5: we called Under (68%)result: 4 goals · we gave it 32%

✓Both teams to score: we called No (60%)result: they did not

✗Top scoreline: we called 0–0 (15%)result: 4–0

Pre-match numbers, judged against the final score — misses included. Every scored call joins the public record.

37%Home win

33%Draw

30%Away win

Too close to call — Stoke 37%, draw 33%, Charlton 30%. No side is clearly ahead, so we don't lean on a winner.

Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Stoke 1.1 · Charlton 0.9

Over / Under 2.5

Over 32%Under 68%

Both teams to score

Yes 40%No 60%

Model vs Market — see where our probabilities differ from the de-vigged market read. Go Pro →

Charlton 1–0 StokeFeb 2026

Stoke 3–0 CharltonNov 2025