Championship

Southampton vs
Swansea

Full timePitchOdds called 3 of 4

Southampton 3–1 Swansea

✓Match result: we called Southampton win (57%)result: Southampton win

✓Over/Under 2.5: we called Over (57%)result: 4 goals

✓Both teams to score: we called Yes (56%)result: both scored

✗Top scoreline: we called 1–1 (11%)result: 3–1

Pre-match numbers, judged against the final score — misses included. Every scored call joins the public record.

57%Home win

23%Draw

19%Away win

We lean Southampton (57%) — draw 23%, Swansea 19%.

Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Southampton 1.9 · Swansea 1.0

Over / Under 2.5

Over 57%Under 43%

Both teams to score

Yes 56%No 44%

Model vs Market — see where our probabilities differ from the de-vigged market read. Go Pro →

Swansea 1–2 SouthamptonApr 2026

Southampton 0–0 SwanseaOct 2025

Swansea 1–3 SouthamptonJan 2024

Southampton 5–0 SwanseaDec 2023