Championship

Derby County vs
Birmingham

45%Home win

28%Draw

27%Away win

Derby County are narrow favourites (45%, under half) — draw 28%, Birmingham 27%.

Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Derby County 1.4 · Birmingham 1.0

Over / Under 2.5

Over 44%Under 56%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%No 51%

Derby County 1–0 BirminghamMar 2026

Birmingham 1–1 Derby CountyDec 2025