Championship

Derby County vs
Stoke

46%Home win

28%Draw

25%Away win

Derby County are narrow favourites (46%, under half) — draw 28%, Stoke 25%.

Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Derby County 1.4 · Stoke 1.0

Over / Under 2.5

Over 44%Under 56%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%No 51%

Derby County 2–0 StokeApr 2026

Stoke 3–1 Derby CountyAug 2025

Derby County 0–0 StokeMay 2025

Stoke 2–1 Derby CountyNov 2024