Cardiff vs
Birmingham

Birmingham are narrow favourites (40%, under half) — Cardiff 31%, draw 29%.

Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Cardiff 1.1 · Birmingham 1.3

Reading these together: each call is the more likely side of its ownmarket — they aren't one combined prediction. A winner, both teams scoring andunder 2.5 can't all land at once (the smallest winning both-score line is 2–1 — three goals). For the single most likely outcomes, see the scorelines tab.