Championship

Millwall vs
Derby County

47%Home win

29%Draw

25%Away win

Millwall are narrow favourites (47%, under half) — draw 29%, Derby County 25%.

Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Millwall 1.4 · Derby County 0.9

Over / Under 2.5

Over 42%Under 58%

Both teams to score

Yes 47%No 53%

Millwall 1–0 Derby CountyMar 2026

Derby County 1–1 MillwallDec 2025

Derby County 0–1 MillwallFeb 2025

Millwall 1–1 Derby CountyOct 2024