Pre-match numbers, judged against the final score — misses included. Every scored call joins the public record.
We lean Villarreal (63%) — draw 19%, Deportivo 18%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Villarreal 2.3 · Deportivo 1.2
Model vs Market — see where our probabilities differ from the de-vigged market read. Go Pro →
No previous meetings on record in the data we hold.