Primera Division
Atleti vs
Real Madrid
33%Home win
23%Draw
44%Away win
Real Madrid are narrow favourites (44%, under half) — Atleti 33%, draw 23%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Atleti 1.5 · Real Madrid 1.7
Over / Under 2.5
Over 63%Under 37%
Both teams to score
Yes 64%No 36%
Real Madrid 3–2 AtletiMar 2026
Atleti 5–2 Real MadridSep 2025
Atleti 3–4 Real MadridMar 2025
Real Madrid 2–1 AtletiMar 2025
Real Madrid 1–1 AtletiFeb 2025
Atleti 1–1 Real MadridSep 2024