Primera Division
Rayo Vallecano vs
Real Madrid
28%Home win
23%Draw
49%Away win
Real Madrid are narrow favourites (49%, under half) — Rayo Vallecano 28%, draw 23%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Rayo Vallecano 1.3 · Real Madrid 1.8
Over / Under 2.5
Over 58%Under 42%
Both teams to score
Yes 60%No 40%
Real Madrid 2–1 Rayo VallecanoFeb 2026
Rayo Vallecano 0–0 Real MadridNov 2025
Real Madrid 2–1 Rayo VallecanoMar 2025
Rayo Vallecano 3–3 Real MadridDec 2024
Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Real MadridFeb 2024
Real Madrid 0–0 Rayo VallecanoNov 2023