Bundesliga
Mainz vs
SC Paderborn
Full timePitchOdds called 0 of 4
Mainz 0–0 SC Paderborn
✗Match result: we called Mainz win (54%)result: Draw · we gave it 22%
✗Over/Under 2.5: we called Over (67%)result: 0 goals · we gave it 33%
✗Both teams to score: we called Yes (66%)result: they did not · we gave it 34%
✗Top scoreline: we called 1–1 (10%)result: 0–0
Pre-match numbers, judged against the final score — misses included. Every scored call joins the public record.
54%Home win
22%Draw
24%Away win
We lean Mainz (54%) — draw 22%, SC Paderborn 24%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Mainz 2.1 · SC Paderborn 1.4
Over / Under 2.5
Over 67%Under 33%
Both teams to score
Yes 66%No 34%
Early season.Only a round or two of results exist — last season's form carries the numbers while transfers, promotions and tactical resets aren't fully priced yet. This is the model's widest-miss window; calibration tightens as new results feed the daily refit. As ever: statistics, not betting advice.
Model vs Market — see where our probabilities differ from the de-vigged market read. Go Pro →
No previous meetings on record in the data we hold.